liveOPENdisputed

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Current stage

UMA final review

Escalated to UMA DVM

YES

Trader readout

UMA/DVM settlement

Can end when UMA/DVM returns a final settlement.

Open main Polymarket market
ESTIMATED

Time left

est. 24-72h

Timing quality

Estimated from current stage

Data freshness

Polymarket Gamma updated at 2026-06-20T20:58:02.934296Z

Coverage

Gamma-derived lifecycle; exact on-chain timestamps require indexer configuration.

Resolution timeline

UMA final review

Passed

7

Left

2

Total

10

Open

complete

complete

Review

complete

took est. 24h

Proposal 1

complete

took est. 24h

Window

complete

took est. 24h

Dispute 1

complete

took est. <1h

Proposal 2

complete

took est. 24h

Dispute 2

complete

took est. <1h

UMA Review

active

active / est. 24-72h

Settled

pending

est. 24h

Resolved

pending

final

Path duration

est. 8.1d

Current phase

not available

Next phase

est. 24h

70% completetiming: estimatedGamma-derived lifecycle; exact on-chain timestamps require indexer configuration.

Start date

Jun 9, 2026, 7:29 PM

End date

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM

Updated

Jun 20, 2026, 8:58 PM

Volume

$476,521

Liquidity

$1,549,061

Condition

0x6f4f3632b4fbc10e7ba84009b5e582b7061a0f7d1df82cca29a02fbbdaf97186